E-cigarette regulation could set back small businesses
The surging popularity of electronic cigarettes is spurring growth at two Milwaukee-area companies that have emerged as important producers of the key ingredient, and is creating opportunity here and elsewhere for storefront entrepreneurs.
The local participants have jumped into a market that some believe will eclipse that of traditional smokes within a decade.
“This is one of those few times where you see a brand new industry, and it’s amazing,” said Christian Berkey, founder and majority owner of Hartland’s Johnson Creek Enterprises LLC, which describes itself as the country’s largest manufacturer of the flavored, nicotine-laced liquids that are at the heart of electronic cigarettes.
But it’s also an industry that soon could change dramatically.
To this point, it’s been more or less the Wild West, with production and sales totally unregulated. Now, though, the U.S. Food and Drug Administration is poised to step in with as-yet undisclosed rules under its authority to oversee tobacco-derived products.
That could shake up the business models of the Internet-based vendors and tiny, home-based juice-makers that have sprung up over the last few years.
It could even lead to an effective ban on e-cigarettes — something industry observers discount as a realistic possibility.
But regulations also could solidify the positions of firms, such as Johnson Creek Enterprises and Wauwatosa’s Securience LLC, that already have made the move from basement to production lab.
“Regulations will, in general, be good for our particular business,” said Don Muehlbauer, owner of Securience, which says it, too, is among the nation’s biggest manufacturers of e-cigarette liquids. “They will drive out the little players.”
E-cigarettes are battery-powered devices with a heating coil that turns a nicotine-containing liquid — the stuff Johnson Creek and Securience make — into a vapor the user inhales.
“Vaping” generally is cheaper than smoking and, advocates say, safer because it doesn’t produce the tars and many of the harmful substances found in cigarettes.
Critics, however, say the vapors contain dangerous chemicals, and that research on e-cigarettes is needed. The U.S. Centers for Disease Control earlier this year said that while the products “appear to have far fewer of the toxins found in smoke compared to traditional cigarettes, the impact of e-cigarettes on long-term health must be studied.”
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Mike Cottrill, 49, of Waukesha smoked for 35 years (Marlboro Menthols) before switching to e-cigarettes last Jan. 1. The habit, he said, was costing him about $20 a day.
With e-cigarettes, he said, “I probably spend about $50 a month on coils and juice.”
Cottrill said his triglyceride levels and blood pressure have dropped, and he’s less congested.
“I started feeling better, and smelling and tasting more things,” he said. And the cigarette smoke he used to crave became a nauseating odor.
“I went back to a lot of my friends and apologized for how I smelled,” he said. “I never knew I smelled that bad.”
Convinced of the benefits to tobacco smokers, Cottrill has become something of an e-cigarette evangelist and, in July, took a job helping run a West Allis store that recently changed its name from Smokin Deals to Milwaukee Vapor.
The shop sells cigarettes but has been shifting its emphasis to their electronic counterparts.
Whether tiny businesses like these survive is an open question, but the industry as a whole may hold great promise.
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Earlier this year, CitiGroup labeled e-cigarettes one of 10 disruptive technologies and ideas capable of creating new markets. Wells Fargo Securities analyst Bonnie Herzog, meanwhile, labels e-cigarettes “a game changer.”
Herzog estimates 2013 retail sales of e-cigarettes at $1.8 billion. That’s a small fraction of the $81 billion for conventional cigarettes, but the e-cigarette sales have tripled in just two years.
And Herzog — an e-cigarette bull — estimates that retail sales of the two products will draw roughly even by 2023, with revenue to manufacturers of e-cigarettes jumping in front even earlier.
“The potential’s huge,” said Dan Bartholow, general manager at Securience, which employs not quite 50 people — among them a chemist with a doctorate, chemical engineers and food scientists — in space at the Milwaukee County Research Park.
Securience, started by Muehlbauer four years ago on a picnic table in his basement with help from his son, a chemical engineer, sells juice in everything from half-ounce bottles to 55-gallon drums.
“We stock thousands of gallons of this stuff, which in the e-liquid world translates to a few million packs,” Bartholow said. The firm doesn’t disclose annual sales.
Johnson Creek does — $1.2 million in 2009, $7.6 million in 2012, and, Berkey said, more than $16 million this year.
One reason for the growth: Johnson Creek makes all the juice used in blu eCigs, the largest-selling electronic brand.
Blu was purchased last year by Lorillard Inc., giving Johnson Creek a toehold with one of the Big Three tobacco companies. The inevitable migration of big tobacco into a field that so far has been the domain of small upstarts worries many in the e-cigarette industry.
But Berkey, a 42-year-old accidental entrepreneur who studied political science in college and was managing an Apple store before he started tinkering with electronic cigarettes, isn’t too worried.
“There is far and away enough business for everybody,” he said.
For Johnson Creek, which also has a staff of chemists and food scientists, that has certainly been the case. Started in 2008 in Berkey’s home basement in the village that gave the firm its name, the company now leases 52,000 square feet of space in a Hartland industrial park.
Berkey expects to hire another 20 over the next few months and to double the firm’s footprint by buying the building it now leases. He also envisions opening a second, highly automated plant in Waukesha sometime next year.
“Things have taken off in a way none of us ever imagined it would,” he said.
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